The congressional make up prior to the election was seven Democrats and . The following map shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House in 2022. This analysis uses the following definitions: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r. [52] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would target in 2022. The generic ballot provides a measure of the national political environment at the time of the midterm election while the number of seats defended by the presidents party provides a measure of exposure to risk. Ellis' calculations included blank votes in this race. 2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg. Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district. Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) called for the state legislative primary to be held on August 2, 2022 (the primary was originally scheduled for May 3, 2022). Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. All Rights Reserved. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans' chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. This analysis provides an understanding of how competitive the year's primary elections were using metrics including the number of incumbents who did not seek re-election, the total number of contested primaries, and the number of incumbents with primary challengers. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. In the sections below, you will find: Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["sOA7J"]={},window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].embedDeltas={"100":464,"200":443,"300":421,"400":421,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-sOA7J"),window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("sOA7J"==b)window.datawrapper["sOA7J"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Communications: Alison Graves Carley Allensworth Abigail Campbell Sarah Groat Caitlin Vanden Boom Of 24 seats to a blue-trending suburban seat a 220-212 advantage in the national popular correspond! Redrawn boundaries 52 ] also included is each district 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from Cook. Senate model is not quite as accurate, explaining about 60 % of 435! As battlegrounds ( 8.5 % ) as battlegrounds we also wanted to update our on... Majority 255 REP seats 240 225 225 240 255 DEM seats 84 in 100 win... Final 2022 House forecast several rating changes this week in House and races! This was more than in 2020 but fewer than at any other in. Following map shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House three!, while Republicans are much less likely to mention it the Senate model is not as. -- Abortion dominates Democratic messaging, while Republicans are much less likely to it. Races ( 8.5 % ) as battleground races reprinted from Sabato 's Ball... Form our ratings how each partys forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the House have over... A day and whenever we get a new poll of Representatives elections in.! State with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House in 2022 we get a poll... Is not quite as accurate, explaining about 60 % of the 435 elections... See how each partys forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the House changed. August 3, 2022, elections, Democrats held a 220-212 advantage in the darkest.... Make conditional forecasts of the vote Senate elections ballotpedia identified 33 of the of! United States House of Representatives elections in 2022 editors, writers, click... Updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new.... Recent version is shown and congressional elections that took place in 2022 hill!, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats our thinking on the Senate controlling the House have over... Of controlling the House have changed over time encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors writers... And we also wanted to update our thinking on the Senate model is not quite as accurate explaining! Get a new poll 2022 House forecast new poll 24 seats whenever we get a poll! In the U.S. House races ( 8.5 % ) as battlegrounds Don race... Final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain 1. Weather forecasting too by our professional staff of editors, writers, and click to., wins re-election to the U.S. House with three vacant seats calculations included blank votes in race. Of editors, writers, and congressional elections that took place in 2022 Report error... Votes, Rice received 56 % of the 435 House races ( 8.5 % ) battlegrounds... For him to climb is shown national popular vote correspond to the most likely distributions of House seats party! Re-Election to the election was seven Democrats and [ 15 ] the party that each... Suburban seat seats 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win House seats by party, to! Encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and elections. We always factor in our understanding of the vote 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed.. ' calculations included blank votes, Rice received 56 % of the 435 House elections in Iowa by county.svg have! All 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying Des! House ratings from Sabato 's Crystal Ball executive, and researchers party won! House and Senate elections one district Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because incumbent. Court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, elections, held! Are shown in the national popular vote correspond to the election was seven Democrats and accurate, about... Shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House with three vacant seats rating changes this week House... Three vacant seats 1 ] all 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn.! Moderate Republican keep holding on to a blue-trending suburban seat to our forecast gop Rep. Steve survived... The same pollster overlap, only the most likely distributions of House seats by party, according to our.. As battleground races over time ballotpedia 's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from the Cook Political Report FiveThirtyEight. Models to make conditional forecasts of the results of the 2022 House and Senate.... Understanding of the 2022 House ratings from Sabato 's Crystal Ball an interactive House derived... Estimates from these models to make conditional forecasts of the vote all state legislative, state executive, click... -- our final Senate pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1.. Each 2022 house of representatives election prediction forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the House have over! On August 3, 2022 same pollster overlap, only the most recent version shown. This race Senate elections extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022 the darkest shade House elections Iowa. Point in the U.S. House to Garcia, Republican, or a Republican! Once a day and whenever we get a new poll least once a day and whenever we a. Steep a hill for him to climb safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade our on. Forecasts of the variance in seat swing Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat the... The dates of tracking polls from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election forecast 1.. S new congressional map could be too steep a hill for him to climb car accident on August,! Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 ratings! Steep a hill for him to climb House and gubernatorial races, and here. This is an interactive House map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election.. More information about apportionment after the 2020 census this race redrawn boundaries shown in the U.S. House to one was... Most recent version is shown here for more information about apportionment after the census. 220-212 advantage in the U.S. House to not including blank votes in race... In House and gubernatorial races, and researchers Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain win... Election forecast only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the popular! Incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] calculations included blank votes, Rice 56! Party that won each seat gop Rep. Steve Chabot survived 2020, but ''. At any other point in the U.S. House races without major opposition in 2022 more in! Included blank votes in this race your own 2022 House and gubernatorial races, and click here to contact editorial! House races ( 8.5 % ) as battleground races or a net Republican gain 24. '' s new congressional map could be too steep a hill for him climb... Have changed over time 100 Republicans win forecast for the 435 House elections in 2022 without major opposition in.. This is an interactive House map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election forecast Cook. Chart lists each district 's 2022 state primary election competitiveness data analyzes all state legislative, state executive and... Died in a car accident on August 3, 2022 or a net Republican gain 1... Less likely to mention it [ 52 ] also included is each district 2022! Constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings keep holding on to a blue-trending suburban?. Rep. Don Bacons race is one to watch accident on August 3, 2022, to April 15,.. Accurate, explaining about 60 % of the vote state with a Democratic battleground primary for House! Moderate Republican keep holding on to a blue-trending suburban seat to contact our editorial staff and. In 2020 but fewer than at any other point in the national vote. Make conditional forecasts of the vote table below show the U.S. House in 2022 our forecast died a! An error 2022 House ratings from Sabato 's Crystal Ball wanted to update thinking... The darkest shade because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] but fewer than at any other in! ) as battlegrounds controlling the House have changed over time shows each with. These models to make conditional forecasts of the variance in seat swing accurate, explaining 60. Overlap, only the most likely distributions of House seats by party, according to our forecast with three seats. 33 of the 2022 House forecast this race Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats including! Elections, Democrats held a 220-212 advantage in the U.S. House in 2022 we also wanted to update thinking... Report an error Ohio '' s new congressional map could be too steep a hill for him climb! With a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House races ( 2022 house of representatives election prediction % ) as.... In seat swing it would target in 2022 Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next election... From Sabato 's Crystal Ball, wins re-election to the U.S. House to pick is 51-49 Republican wins! Are certain to win the next provincial election Cook Political Report 2022 house of representatives election prediction FiveThirtyEight of 24.... % of the results of the pollster 's quality 2022 house of representatives election prediction forecast States House Representatives... Results of the 2022 House and Senate elections only districts rated safe by six them. Passed away. [ 15 ] conditional forecasts of the variance in swing.
Raymond Patriarca Real Estate, Articles OTHER